Academy Awards: What are the odds?

By Tom Comi

Oddsmakers like the Oscar chances for Colin Firth, Helena Bonham Carter and "The King's Speech" this Sunday

It seems that you can pretty much bet on anything these days, which means there is money to be had if you think you have a good feeling about how the 83rd annual Academy Awards show will go down Sunday.

Even if you aren’t the gambling type, the odds we found on the website do give a pretty strong indication as to who will be walking away with the little, golden statuettes this weekend. Granted, there are always upsets, but suffice it to say that the somewhat predictable outcomes for most of the major categories could lead to less-than-desirable viewing numbers for ABC.

So, with the provision that these numbers are being listed merely for fun, we present the odds for the six most prestigious awards (listed alphabetically). For those not familiar with how to read a gambling line, the second number is the amount of money you would bet in order to collect the amount in the first numbers. For example, since 127 hours in such a long-shot to win Best Picture, you would get $100 if you wagered $1. The King’s Speech, on the other hand, is such a favorite that you have to bet $11 to only win $2.

Best Picture
127 Hours 100/1
Black Swan 40/1
Inception 66/1
The Fighter 50/1
The Kids Are All Right 200/1
The King’s Speech 2/11
The Social Network 4/1
Toy Story 3 150/1
True Grit 40/1
Winter’s Bone 150/1

Best Actor
Colin Firth – The King’s Speech 1/33
James Franco – 127 Hours 18/1
Javier Bardem – Biutiful 40/1
Jeff Bridges – True Grit 33/1
Jesse Eisenberg – The Social Network 25/1

Best Actress
Annette Bening – The Kids Are All Right 13/2
Jennifer Lawrence – Winter’s Bone 28/1
Michelle Williams – Blue Valentine 66/1
Natalie Portman – Black Swan 1/12
Nicole Kidman – Rabbit Hole 66/1

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams – The Fighter 33/1
Hailee Steinfeld – True Grit 3/1
Helena Bonham Carter – The King’s Speech 13/2
Jacki Weaver – Animal Kingdom 40/1
Melissa Leo – The Fighter 4/11

Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale – The Fighter 1/7
Geoffrey Rush – The King’s Speech 4/1
Jeremy Renner – The Town 80/1
John Hawkes – Winter’s Bone 66/1
Mark Ruffalo – The Kids Are All Right 66/1

Best Director
Darren Aronofsky – Black Swan 20/1
David Fincher – The Social Network 5/8
David O. Russell – The Fighter 66/1
Joel and Ethan Coen – True Grit 40/1
Tom Hooper – The King’s Speech 13/10


© 2010 Weinstein Company  Credit: Laurie Sparham